April 29, 2024 ZA confirmed
South Africa · ANC, 2019 manifesto (Ramaphosa government): kept and broken per Africa Check
Historical reference case. Africa Check, the continent's leading independent fact-checker, analyzed the 2019 manifesto promises of the ruling African National Congress (ANC), comparing them with the 2024 version to see which were kept and which reappeared as unfulfilled. Kept: implementing the national minimum wage (though various factors still prevent all workers from benefiting) and holding five investment conferences that increased investment pledges. Broken or pending: reducing violent crime against vulnerable groups (Ramaphosa called gender-based violence the country's 'second pandemic') and implementing National Health Insurance (NHI), which returned to the 2024 manifesto without having been delivered. Unemployment rose from 29.1% to 32.1% during the first term. Note: Africa Check does not publish a single aggregate percentage; the balance is thematic, promise by promise.
February 23, 2026 US confirmed
US · Trump second term (2025-): 75 promises tracked, ~19% kept by early 2026
Ongoing term. PolitiFact's 'MAGA-Meter' tracks 75 second-term promises. By early 2026, about 19% were rated kept and around 45% 'in the works'. Among those kept, the extension of the 2017 tax cuts; among broken, a quick end to the Russia-Ukraine war. This record will be updated quarterly.
January 19, 2021 US confirmed
US · Trump first term (2017-2021): 102 promises, 53% broken
Historical reference case. PolitiFact's 'Trump-O-Meter' tracked 102 first-term promises. Closing balance: about 24 kept, 23 compromised and 55 broken —around 53% unfulfilled— the highest share among recent presidents with comparable tracking.
January 20, 2017 US confirmed
US · Obama (2009-2017): two-term close, ~23% of promises broken
Historical reference case. PolitiFact tracked more than 500 of Barack Obama's promises across two terms via its 'Obameter', using a fulfillment system based on verifiable outcomes. The closing balance put broken promises at around 23%, the lowest share among recent presidents with comparable tracking. It serves as the series baseline.
January 20, 2025 US confirmed
US · Biden (2021-2025): 99 promises, a third kept, a third compromised, a third broken
Historical reference case. PolitiFact's 'Biden Promise Tracker' followed 99 promises. The final balance was almost exactly in thirds: 33 kept, 32 compromised and 34 broken. It illustrates how divided government limits fulfillment even of priority goals.
May 22, 2024 GB confirmed
UK · 2019 Conservative manifesto (Johnson→Truss→Sunak): ~48% completed or on track
Historical reference case with party continuity. The Institute for Government, a non-partisan think tank, assessed the measurable promises of the 2019 Conservative manifesto. Of 287 commitments analyzed, 137 (about 48%) were completed or on track; 55 untouched, 15 at risk of failure and 4 abandoned. The term spanned three prime ministers of the same party —Boris Johnson, Liz Truss and Rishi Sunak— making it a clear case of party continuity rather than a single leader. The IfG noted that many fulfilled pledges were 'easy wins' (white papers, fund allocations) and that the flagship 'get Brexit done' pledge was met, while the pledge to lower debt by the end of the parliament was not.
July 16, 2019 PT reported
Portugal · Costa (2015-2019): ~16% of ~1,100 measures fully completed (self-assessment + press)
Reference case with methodological caution. António Costa's Socialist government published at the close of its program a balance —on the official prestarcontas.gov.pt platform— according to which, of the roughly 1,100 measures listed, about 16% (some 179) were fully completed, 73% in execution and the rest not started. In the flagship chapter 'turning the page on austerity' (67 promises), the government reported 42 kept, 15 in progress and 10 unfulfilled. Impartiality note: these figures come largely from government self-assessment, cross-checked by the press (Jornal de Negócios, ECO), not from an independent fact-checker with neutral closing methodology; hence the confidence level is 'reported'. Portugal has the Polígrafo fact-checker, but it verifies specific claims rather than a systematic promise balance.
December 13, 2024 PL confirmed
Poland · Tusk (2023-): at one year, 15 of 100 concrete promises kept (Demagog)
Ongoing term. The fact-checker Demagog, through its tracking of the '100 konkretów' (100 concrete promises Donald Tusk pledged to fulfill in the first 100 days), assessed the progress of the coalition governing since December 2023. At the first anniversary (13 December 2024), when more than 250 days had passed beyond the promised 100, only 15 of the 100 promises were fully kept; others partially or in progress. Among those kept: public funding of IVF and the renegotiation of the EU recovery plan on health; among the pending, raising the tax-free threshold to 60,000 zloty, halted by the EU's excessive-deficit procedure. Tusk himself justified the low fulfillment by arguing that, with 31% of the vote, he could only deliver about a third of the program. This record will be updated.
July 28, 2025 PH reported
Philippines · Marcos Jr. (2022-): many promises underway at year three, per Rappler's tracker
Ongoing term. The outlet Rappler, together with its partner organizations and its data team, maintains a promise tracker of President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. At year three (July 2025), its analysis indicates that many of the promises are being fulfilled. Among the achievements noted: delivering on the promise to defend the country's territorial claims and sovereignty, with the November 2024 signing of the laws establishing the Philippine Maritime Zone and the Philippine Archipelagic Sea Lanes (Republic Acts 12064 and 12065); also progress in climate-change mitigation and digitalization. Note: Rappler's tracker classifies the status of each promise (kept, in progress, pending) but the balance does not reduce to a single closing percentage, as the term is ongoing. This record will be updated.
March 8, 2024 NZ reported
New Zealand · Luxon (2023-): 100-day plan, 49 actions completed per the government
Ongoing term, short-term figure. Christopher Luxon's coalition (National, ACT and NZ First), in power since November 2023, committed to 49 concrete actions in its first 100 days and declared all of them completed in March 2024. Independent media (The Spinoff, RNZ, interest.co.nz) verified the fulfillment: most were met 'in some form', though some remained 'questionable'. Many of the actions were repeals of the previous Labour government's policies (the central bank's dual mandate, the Auckland fuel tax, the clean car discount, fair pay agreements, the Māori Health Authority). Impartiality note: this balance corresponds only to the 100-day plan (a short, self-defined universe), not a full-term balance from an independent fact-checker, which does not yet exist; hence the confidence level is 'reported'. New Zealand lacks a systematic academic promise tracker like neighboring Australia's.
May 29, 2017 NG reported
Nigeria · Buhari/APC (2015-2023): thematic balance of 9 key promises (Africa Check)
Reference case with methodological caution. Africa Check independently assessed nine key promises from Muhammadu Buhari's 'Covenant with Nigerians' and the APC manifesto, reviewing them one by one. Mixed thematic balance: the promise of free school meals for all primary children was 'in progress' (national school-feeding program, part of a 500-billion-naira social investment plan); the promise that no force would occupy Nigerian soil saw 'mixed progress' against Boko Haram, with areas like the Sambisa forest reclaimed but persistent insurgency; social payments to vulnerable people (5,000 naira monthly) began as a pilot. Impartiality note: for the following term, that of Bola Tinubu (2023-, 'Renewed Hope'), the available fulfillment figures come mostly from the ruling party's (APC) self-assessments and not an independent fact-checker, so they are not logged as a balance. Africa Check assigns no single percentage; the balance is promise by promise.
September 30, 2024 MX confirmed
Mexico · AMLO (2018-2024): 100 commitments, 52 to 68 kept depending on the fact-checker
Historical reference case with a self-defined universe: the 100 commitments Andrés Manuel López Obrador presented on 1 December 2018. Two independent fact-checkers evaluated the same list at the term's close with close but not identical results: SinEmbargo counted 68 kept, 15 not kept, 10 in progress and 7 unassessable; Serendipia's AMLÓmetro rated around 52 kept and 19 unfulfilled, with the rest lacking sufficient public information. The difference lies in how ambiguous or data-less commitments are rated. The kept ones cluster in social programs and austerity; the unfulfilled in health, security and the Ayotzinapa case, which the government itself acknowledged as pending. The president claimed he kept 99 of 100, a figure that is his self-assessment and not an independent balance.
September 10, 2024 KE confirmed
Kenya · Ruto (2022-): Mzalendo Trust counts 5% of 270 promises kept; the government claims 80%
Ongoing term, with one of the largest divergences in the record. The Mzalendo Trust, an independent parliamentary-monitoring organization, maintains a dedicated Promise Tracker of the manifesto promises of William Ruto's Kenya Kwanza coalition (in power since September 2022). At two years, its analysis counted just 5% of the 270 promises as kept. In contrast, President Ruto himself claimed in January 2026 to have fulfilled 80% of the manifesto, and his delivery office published scorecards highlighting progress on affordable housing, subsidized fertilizer and the 'Hustler Fund' (which disbursed some 36 billion shillings to 18 million Kenyans). The press (Daily Nation) describes a mixed balance: some promises kept, others in progress and others broken or stalled, with youth unemployment the main focus of discontent. Impartiality note: the independent fact-checker's figure (Mzalendo) is logged as the main one and the government self-assessment (80%) as context. This record will be updated.
October 21, 2025 IT confirmed
Italy · Meloni (2022-): at three years, 22 of 100 promises kept (Pagella Politica)
Ongoing term (the legislature ends in October 2027). The fact-checker Pagella Politica, through its 'Promessometro', analyzes the 100 main promises of the center-right coalition's common program (Brothers of Italy, League, Forza Italia and Noi Moderati) presented in 2022. At three years of Giorgia Meloni's government (October 2025): 22 kept (translated into concrete, definitive measures), 59 in progress with partial results, 10 unfulfilled and 9 compromised (decisions taken run opposite to what was promised). Pagella Politica starts from the coalition's common program as the most objective basis, rather than individual ministers' statements. This record will be updated as the legislature progresses.
April 1, 2019 IN reported
India · BJP/Modi (2014-2019): mixed thematic balance, no independent quantified tracker
Reference case with methodological caution. BBC Reality Check independently assessed the fulfillment of Narendra Modi's (BJP) first-term promises against its manifesto. Thematic balance: the promise to raise manufacturing to 25% of GDP by 2025 ('Make in India') was not met —it stayed around 15%—; the flagship promise to create millions of jobs was disputed, with leaked data pointing to rising unemployment; on the other hand, GDP growth stayed strong (6-7% per year) and campaigns like Clean India advanced. Flagship promises from successive manifestos —the abrogation of Article 370 (Kashmir's status), the Ram temple in Ayodhya and the Citizenship Amendment Act (CAA)— were delivered in the second term. Impartiality note: India, the world's largest democracy, lacks an independent tracker producing an aggregate fulfillment percentage; the high non-fulfillment figures in circulation come from the opposition and refer to state-level manifestos, not national ones. Hence a thematic balance is logged with 'reported' confidence.
November 21, 2024 IE reported
Ireland · FF-FG-Green coalition (2020-2024): mixed thematic balance, no single percentage
Reference case with methodological caution. The Irish Times and TheJournal audited at the close the 2020 Programme for Government of the Fianna Fáil, Fine Gael and Green coalition. Unlike other countries, there is no single fulfillment percentage: the 128-page document itself used vague commitments —the word 'review' appeared over 130 times— hard to quantify. The thematic balance: delivered or advanced on pensions (~€25 increase), reduced university fees, tipping policy (made law) and public transport; fell short on the 7% annual emissions-reduction climate target, the pupil-teacher ratio (target 20:1, ended at 23:1) and lowering the higher income-tax threshold (target €50,000, ended at €42,000). Impartiality note: with no quantifiable count from a fact-checker with closed methodology, no percentage is assigned and the confidence level is 'reported'.
April 16, 2019 ID reported
Indonesia · Jokowi 'Nawacita' (2014-2019): mixed thematic balance, no quantified tracker
Reference case with methodological caution. The universe of Joko Widodo's (Jokowi) 2014 promises was the 'Nawacita' (nine ideals), incorporated into the 2015-2019 National Medium-Term Development Plan. Independent analyses (Devex, the ISEAS-Fulcrum institute) agree on a mixed balance: partial fulfillment through major infrastructure projects that improved connectivity, reduced poverty and narrowed the gap between Java and the rest of the country, and a revamped national health insurance; on the other hand, promises on human rights (the appointment of former generals with questioned records was criticized), land-law reform and resolving the Papua conflict went unfulfilled or half-met. Impartiality note: Indonesia, the world's third most populous democracy, lacks an independent tracker producing an aggregate fulfillment percentage; the available tracking is thematic and qualitative. Hence a thematic balance is logged with 'reported' confidence.
December 7, 2016 GH reported
Ghana · Mahama/NDC (2012-2017): 77 of 280 manifesto promises kept (~28%)
Historical reference case with caution about the source. The analysis of the 2012 manifesto of John Mahama's National Democratic Congress (NDC), under the motto 'Advancing the Better Ghana Agenda', concludes that of 280 promises, 77 were kept, around 28%. The term was marked by an economic crisis and a four-year energy crisis (the phenomenon known as 'dumsor', power cuts), factors behind the NDC losing the 2016 elections. Impartiality note: the 28% figure was circulated and amplified by the New Patriotic Party (NPP), the NDC's rival, amid Mahama's return to politics; however, independent Ghanaian fact-checkers (Fact-Check Ghana, Dubawa) operate actively and have checked, promise by promise, claims from both parties. Given the partisan origin of the aggregate figure, it is logged with 'reported' confidence. Mahama returned to the presidency after winning the December 2024 elections.
March 11, 2022 FR confirmed
France · Macron first term (2017-2022): of 100 flagship promises, 47 kept
Historical reference case. The franceinfo newsroom (public broadcaster) analyzed at the term's close 100 of Emmanuel Macron's roughly 400 promises from 2017: 47 fully kept, 28 partially and 25 not delivered. The dedicated 'Lui Président' tracking project followed all 401 promises. Fulfillment clustered in economics (abolition of the ISF wealth tax and the RSI, transformation of the CICE, skills-investment plan); among the unmet, the universal pension scheme and cutting 120,000 civil-service posts. The term was marked by the 'yellow vests' movement and the pandemic.
July 23, 2023 ES confirmed
Spain · PSOE-Unidas Podemos coalition (2019-2023): 60% of the agreement fulfilled (Newtral)
Historical reference case of a coalition government. The fact-checker Newtral, through its 'Pactocheck', tracked 100 concrete, measurable commitments from the November 2019 coalition agreement between the PSOE and Unidas Podemos. When Parliament was dissolved for the snap elections of July 2023, fulfillment reached 60% of the analyzed commitments. Among those kept: the housing law, the trans and LGBTI law, and pension increases; among the pending ones that would no longer be carried out, the reform of the 'gag law'. Newtral selected only promises with a verifiable, time-quantifiable degree of fulfillment.
February 5, 2025 DE confirmed
Germany · Scholz 'traffic-light' coalition (2021-2025): 52% of the agreement implemented (Bertelsmann)
Historical reference case of a coalition government. The Bertelsmann Stiftung, with the University of Trier, assessed the 2021 coalition agreement between the SPD, Greens and FDP (Olaf Scholz's 'traffic-light' coalition). Of 453 concrete commitments, 52% were implemented by the close (45% full, 7% partial). It is a worse balance than the two previous governments (around 80%), though in absolute numbers the coalition delivered more projects. Methodological divergence note: FragDenStaat's Koalitionstracker, measuring 271 promises it deemed strictly measurable (a narrower universe), reported only one in four fulfilled; the difference reflects what counts as a promise. The coalition collapsed before completing the term.
September 19, 2025 CZ confirmed
Czechia · Fiala coalition (2021-2025): 32% of promises kept per Demagog (the government claims 93%)
Historical reference case with explicit methodological divergence. The fact-checker Demagog.cz selected 50 concrete, measurable, achievable promises from the government program of Petr Fiala's coalition (2022) and tracked them throughout the term. Closing balance: 16 kept (32%), 28% partially and 40% broken. Among the broken, raising teachers' salaries to 130% of the average wage (it ended at ~102%) and opening two new national parks. The government strongly objected, arguing that Demagog analyzed only 50 of the more than 550 points of the program (less than 10%), and claimed it had fulfilled 93%. Impartiality note: the 93% figure is government self-assessment over the full universe; the 32% is from an independent fact-checker over a sample of measurable commitments. Demagog's is logged as the main figure for being independent, with the objection noted. For comparison: Demagog's methodology gave the previous Babiš government 44%.
February 8, 2025 CO reported
Colombia · Petro (2022-2026): the government itself admits ~49 of 195 commitments kept
Ongoing term (ends 7 August 2026). The most solid figure comes from an admission by the president himself: in a televised cabinet meeting in February 2025, Gustavo Petro acknowledged that of 195 commitments 'to the people', only 49 had been met and 146 remained pending. Subsequent reports by opposition members of Congress (published by Semana) analyzed the 214 promises of the National Development Plan and put non-fulfillment at around 71% (29% with some fulfillment) as of April 2026; coming from the opposition, that figure is logged as context, not a neutral balance. Impartiality note: no independent fact-checker with neutral methodology has yet closed the term's balance, so the confidence level is 'reported'. The government attributes the lags to congressional blockages, high ministerial turnover (45 ministers in 30 months) and fiscal constraints.
March 3, 2022 CL confirmed
Chile · Piñera II (2018-2022): 42% of the program fulfilled at term's end (Ciudadanía Inteligente)
Historical reference case. The Ciudadanía Inteligente foundation, through its 'Del Dicho al Hecho' study —which has measured Chilean government-program fulfillment since 2011 with the same methodology— assessed Sebastián Piñera's second term. Of 256 legislative promises, 49 were fully met and 108 saw no progress at all; the rest showed partial progress, for an overall 42% fulfillment at term's end. The areas with most progress were Science and Technology, Defense and Gender Equity. The same study enables cross-government comparison: by year three, Piñera II and Boric were around 37-38%, and Bachelet II 47%.
October 21, 2019 CA confirmed
Canada · Trudeau first term (2015-2019): 53.5% kept, 8% broken (Laval Polimètre)
Historical reference case. The Université Laval Polimètre analyzed 353 promises from the 2015 Liberal platform. Closing balance: 53.5% fully kept, 38.5% partially and 8% broken. Among the most-discussed broken ones, electoral reform —Trudeau promised 2015 would be the last election under first-past-the-post and then abandoned the promise in 2017— and a return to fiscal balance by 2019. It succeeds a Conservative government (Harper), so there is no party continuity.
October 19, 2015 CA confirmed
Canada · Harper (2011-2015): 77% of promises fully kept (Laval Polimètre)
Historical reference case. The Université Laval Polimètre, an academic platform-tracking tool, evaluated Stephen Harper's last majority government. The balance: 77% of promises fully kept, 7% partially and 16% broken. It is one of the highest fulfillment rates recorded at the Canadian federal level with this methodology.
December 31, 2022 BR confirmed
Brazil · Bolsonaro (2019-2022): 58 promises, 33% fully kept (g1)
Historical reference case. The g1 (Globo) outlet tracked 58 campaign commitments by Jair Bolsonaro drawn from interviews, debates, agenda and government plan. Closing balance: 19 fully kept (33%), 17% partially and 29 unfulfilled (50%). Among the unfulfilled: ending political appointments in minister selection, not raising taxes, and lowering the age of criminal responsibility. Methodological note: Agência Lupa, measuring only the 47 verifiable targets of the written government plan (a narrower universe), reported 15% fulfillment; the difference reflects what counts as a promise, not a factual contradiction.
April 9, 2025 AU confirmed
Australia · Albanese first term (2022-2025): ~20% of promises broken, majority kept (RMIT/ABC)
Historical reference case. The RMIT/ABC Fact Check Election Promise Tracker —an academic tool using five categories (delivered, in progress, stalled, thwarted, broken) and the Comparative Pledges Project's promise definition— assessed 66 major promises of Anthony Albanese's Labor government at the close of his first term. The balance: it failed at least 14 promises (about 20%), including raising real wages above pre-election levels; the rest were kept or advanced, so 'far more were kept than broken'. One of the most notable broken promises was the Indigenous 'Voice to Parliament' referendum, rejected by 62% in 2023. The tracker places Albanese's performance in line with the average of comparable democracies, which fulfill about two-thirds of their promises. Albanese was re-elected in May 2025.
December 4, 2019 AR confirmed
Argentina · Macri (2015-2019): 20 promises checked, only 2 kept (90% unfulfilled)
Historical reference case. Argentine fact-checker Chequeado tracked 20 promises Mauricio Macri made in the 2015 pre-runoff presidential debate and in Cambiemos campaign documents, plus two chosen by its community. At the term's close, the balance was 2 kept and 18 unfulfilled (90%), though 9 of the unfulfilled showed progress. Among the emblematic unfulfilled ones: 'zero poverty' —the indicator by which Macri asked to be judged, which rose from 32% to 35.4% in the first half of 2019— and 'cut inflation to single digits', with 2019 inflation above 47.6%, the highest in 28 years. Kept: extending the child allowance to children of self-employed taxpayers and the 'cooperating-witness law'.
